The United States Federal Reserve announced on Thursday that it is embarking on a third round of ‘quantitative easing,’ buying up forty billion dollars of securities each month in an effort to boost the economy. ‘Quantitative easing’ is the preferred Fed euphemism for printing money and ‘injecting’ it into the American economic system. These buys will continue until the “outlook for the labor market . . . [improves] substantially,” and will be increased if necessary. Some analysts expect that the Fed may end up adding a whopping $1.7 trillion to its balance sheet over the next several years as part of QE3, in addition to the $1.75 trillion it added in QE1 and the 600 billion dollars in QE2.
So what is the purpose of these QE money-printing schemes? Well, the idea is that by making more money available to banks for loans, that will then make it easier for companies to expand and grow. This ‘easy money’ will hopefully allow businesses to increase their hiring, which will reduce the unemployment rate—the end goal. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says that QE1 and QE2 contributed to restoration of market confidence and reduced systemic economic risks, but former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan calculates that they had virtually no impact whatsoever. Whoever is right, unemployment remains well above eight percent. The Fed is clearly dissatisfied with the results of its QE programs, or else it wouldn’t need to try a third round. Of course, I tend to think that when a policy fails you ought to try a different policy, rather than doubling-down on the one that didn’t work.
When more money is put in circulation, it tends to reduce the value of that currency—in other words, it causes inflation. Inflation has been hovering in the five-to-ten percent range since 2008, meaning that each year the cost of living is getting significantly higher. The Fed and other government agencies have reduced the impact of this inflation by lying about it; according to the official cost of living values, inflation is at record lows below two percent. Federal agencies and most companies index their cost of living wage increases against these official numbers, which are achieved by arbitrarily excluding food and fuel costs (among others) from the calculations. So, although actual cost of living is increasing, wages have stayed-put. This has allowed companies to avoid broad layoffs and, more importantly, to keep their prices from skyrocketing . . . but it has also meant that most workers in the United States have taken a hidden pay cut, and their savings aren’t worth what they should be.
