Photos from Election Central

Having a really busy week and haven’t had time to do much writing. Sorry guys. I have a lot of backlogged to-dos to get out of the way and some other commitments. Anyway, in case you were wondering how I covered the election last week, here are three photos from before returns started coming in. This is pretty much my normal office setup, except the TV usually isn’t on ;-).

The real workhorse of the night: My old TI-82 calculator. I got it in 9th grade and it still does the real hard-core heavy lifting when I need to project a race’s outcome from raw returns. I still haven’t found anything that lets me plow through the numbers faster.

My basic setup was broad news coverage on the left (TV tuned to CNN and various news sites on the first computer screen), my site’s live results in the middle, and returns and some media projections on the right.

What If Hyperinflation is the Plan?

I’m not much of a conspiracy theorist, but when I hear that the U.S. Federal Reserve Board voted 9-1 to print another 600 billion dollars I have to start wondering what they’re up to. The Fed., under Chairman Ben Bernanke’s leadership, has already injected over $2 trillion into the economy. All of this ‘quantitative easing’ is supposed to spur growth and economic recovery, but it hasn’t worked yet . . . at all. There’s no reason to think another 600 billion dollars will do the trick.

There’s a lot of funny stuff going on with the numbers. The Consumer Price Index and inflation rates are supposedly dangerously low, but who really thinks their cost of living has gone down or remained stable over the last two years? Anybody? Is it cheaper to gas up your car? Do your groceries cost the same? Oh, wait, fuel and food costs aren’t part of the CPI computations. I guess that’s not an important part of the real cost of living for the real people in this country. I guess those costs are irrelevant when making fundamental policy decisions that will impact the buying power of our national monetary unit.

But something dawned on me today. Bernanke, who was a big part of the Bush/Obama Bailout Bonanza, really pissed me off when he suddenly started sounding like a deficit hawk. I’ve questioned whether his policy ideas are the product of malice or stupidity. But maybe his policies are actually darkly brilliant. Maybe he really is a deficit hawk, and maybe these monetary policies are specifically and intentionally crafted to bring about massive inflation and devaluation of the dollar.

You see, inflation (and even hyperinflation) serves to reduce debts. Let’s say that I make $60,000 per year, have a house that’s worth $400,000, and owe $300,000 on a mortgage. If the Federal Reserve successfully cuts the buying power of the dollar in quarters with crazy inflation, well my salary will end up being $240,000 per year (though with the purchase power my $60,000 used to have), my house’s value goes to $1,600,000, but my mortgage stays fixed at $300,000 and my monthly payment doesn’t change.

Now double, triple, quadruple those inflation rates and before too long my debts are essentially gone . . . peanuts I can pay off with a day’s salary, which won’t make the debt owners happy. Now imagine that you’re a Federal Reserve Chairman in a country with a massive, crushing, and growing national debt. What would hyperinflation do? Amid the social chaos, the national debt (assuming it is held in dollars) evaporates—or at least becomes more manageable. Eventually a ‘new normal’ sets in, each of us trades thousands of dollars in for one ‘New Dollar,’ and life goes on.

We would, of course, have destroyed our credit rating and decimated our debt-holders’ trust, but an argument can be made that this would be better than defaulting or continuing to carry a debt of this scale ($13,713,087,906,377.36 as of 11/01/2010). I’m finding it hard to believe that 9/10ths of the Federal Reserve Board doesn’t have an Econ. 101-level understanding of money and inflation. Maybe they really do know exactly what they’re doing. . . .

Election 2010: Results (Final)

Ballot Races
U.S. House, VA-10th
Jeff Barnett (D):34.81%
Bill Redpath (L):2.21%
Frank Wolf (R):62.87%
Other:0.11%
Ballot Issues
Virginia Tax Amendment #1
Yes:75.92%
No:24.08%
Virginia Tax Amendment #2
Yes:82.41%
No:17.59%
Virginia Rainy Day Amend.
Yes:51.15%
No:48.85%
Loudoun School Bonds
Yes:54.52%
No:45.48%

Busted: I’m Not A Perfect Driver

I received a ‘warning notice’ in the mail today because I apparently ran a red light in Washington, DC, on October 23 at 3rd St. and New York Ave. NW. Thankfully it’s just a warning, not an actual citation, but I’ll presumably get a real citation if I ever do it again.

At first I doubted it . . . the photos could easily be interpreted as me stopping at a red light and then making a legal right turn on red (which is something I do a lot). However, after logging in and viewing the video, it’s clear that I did actually run the light. Oops.

In my defense, there was no reason for the light to be red. As you can see in the video, there weren’t any cars coming, and the light wasn’t even long enough to clear the backlog off 3rd St. (one or two cars ahead of me got caught too; look closely to see the camera flashes). I had also just spent about 10 minutes trying to get through this idiotic intersection since, for some reason, you can’t make a left from New Jersey (heading north) onto New York (heading west). I had to do this stupid U-turn maneuver onto 3rd and go through three traffic lights to make a simple left turn. And, of course, DC’s traffic lights are notoriously hard to see against the city backdrop.

Not making excuses, just laying out the mitigating factors. I have a nearly-spotless driving record and take driving very seriously (and am quick to criticize others). In the interest of expressing a bit of humility, here is evidence that even Scott Bradford makes an occasional mistake behind the wheel. Mitigating factors or not, I should have stopped at the light as the law requires. If this had been a real citation, I would have paid without contesting.

My Sister’s Fall Showcase (Videos and Photos)

Melissa and I spent a nice weekend down in the Roanoke area. The main purpose of the trip was to see my sister Kristen dance in her Fall Showcase with Arthur Murray Dance Center of Roanoke, which was held Saturday afternoon at the Hotel Roanoke. She did a great job, as always.

This time, I brought my Canon camera instead of relying on a cell phone, so I got some good photos and halfway-decent videos (as good as can be expected with the room’s crappy lighting). I took a number of random photos before, during, and after the showcase, and took video of Kristen’s various routines.

We also got to spend some time with both my and Melissa’s parents in celebration of both of our birthdays, which was nice. It’s great to spend some time with the family (and get free food ;-)).

Anyway . . . videos and photos from the Showcase below. Enjoy!

Scott Bradford is a writer and technologist who has been putting his opinions online since 1995. He believes in three inviolable human rights: life, liberty, and property. He is a Catholic Christian who worships the trinitarian God described in the Nicene Creed. Scott is a husband, nerd, pet lover, and AMC/Jeep enthusiast with a B.S. degree in public administration from George Mason University.