Scott Bradford: Off on a Tangent

Flu Hysteria

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Okay, seriously people. The flu is a very, very common virus. Sure, there are tons of variants—some of which can be pretty harmful—but for a normal person with a healthy immune system, it’s just the flu. It’s like a cold, just worse. It’s just like pretty much any other respiratory virus.

The regular, run-of-the-mill seasonal flu generates enough irrational hysteria every year. Millions go out and get flu shots that they don’t really need (they’re really intended for the very young, very old, and others with weak immune systems). It makes the news when the flu starts afflicting people in the region, and there are regular updates on how effective or ineffective the vaccines have been that year.

But, despite this, most people still seem to understand that the seasonal flu is just the flu. Schools don’t close, people don’t stockpile hand sanitizer, and it’s not the lead story in every news outlet every spring—even though the regular seasonal flu infects 5-20 percent of Americans and kills about 36,000 of them (mostly with weak immune systems) each year.

With all this in mind, let’s have some sanity in our discourse about the so-called ‘Swine Flu’. Yeah, it’s new and different. Yeah, it has the potential to infect lots of people. But, ultimately, it’s still just the flu. It’s still not gonna’ kill you unless you have a weak immune system. It’s not gonna’ destroy society. All evidence so far would indicate it’s not much worse, if it’s worse at all, as compared to a regular seasonal flu. We don’t need to close schools for weeks or months because one student has it. We don’t need to drastically reorganize our lives around it.

Calm down.

Website 21 Coming Soon

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I mentioned a little over a week ago that I was starting to work on my designs and such for the next version of this site, Website 21. As I mentioned then, this is going to be (from a visual perspective) an evolutionary rather than revolutionary upgrade. At a glance it won’t look all that different, though I think you will notice some changes.

I’ve been writing mostly smaller entries on the site over the last week since I’ve been dedicating a lot of my web time to the development of the Website 21 templates and code (I’ve been in a pretty nerdy mood, so the timing was right). I’m happy to report that I’ve made very fast progress. With the weight of supporting Internet Explorer 6 off my shoulders, web development is much quicker and much less hacky these days.

I’m doing a major upgrade to the code—a complete rewrite in parts—and already have a working WordPress template with a couple of nifty new features worked in. Of course, all this does introduce the possibility that something won’t work right initially. I’ll do my usual wide range of browser tests and will try to catch and eliminate as many bugs as possible before launch, but some are bound to slip through.

Anyway, I have not yet set a launch date . . . but don’t be too surprised if Website 21 launches in the next week or two. Then again, since I’m pretty busy and do get sidetracked, don’t be surprised if it takes longer either ;-).

Chapter 11 Bankruptcy: It’s Got a Hemi

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While it’s not 100 percent official yet, major media outlets are reporting that Chrysler LLC—the parent of Chrysler, Dodge, and Jeep—will be filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy today. Chrysler has been unable to reach agreements with enough of its lenders to reduce debt and remain solvent.

While under Chapter 11 protection, Chrysler is expected to reorganize, merge or partner with Italian automaker Fiat, and come out in as little as 2 or 3 months as a leaner, profitable American automotive company.

Chrysler’s story, in particular, is a very frustrating one for me. The company has long been my favorite of the former ‘big three’ U.S. automakers. My last American-branded car was a 1998 Chrysler Cirrus—up-market cousin of the Dodge Stratus—and it was a great little mid-size sedan. I had few complaints about the vehicle, and it had no major mechanical problems except what you would expect for a car with the age and mileage it had.

Read more . . .

The Genius of Bureaucracy

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As a long-time observer of government and, for the last five years or so, one who has worked on a number of government projects, I continue to be amazed at the abject idiocy produced by our federal bureaucracy. Now, I want to be careful here because many federal workers and contractors I have worked with have been extraordinarily talented professionals. In fact, working in government, I have been continually stuck by the bipolar nature of the institution—it seems to attract some of the most dedicated people, and at the same time some of the most indifferent, disinterested morons.

Because the morons, unfortunately, outnumber the good ones, it happens fairly regularly that a bad idea originates somewhere in the ranks of the federal bureaucracy and manages to snake through the channels of authority, being signed-off on by five or ten managers and analysts and Deputy Under-Secretaries before eventually being implemented. In the real world, one of those five or ten reviewers would have said, “Hey, this is a bad idea.” In government, well, it doesn’t always work that way.

For example, some low- or middle-ranked bureaucrat somewhere in the labyrinths of the Washington, DC, federal buildings thought it would be a wonderful idea to fly one of the presidential planes—a Boeing 747 that looks very much like an airliner—right over the Statue of Liberty in New York with a couple of F-16 fighter jets trailing it. “After all,” says the anonymous bureaucrat, “we need a new picture of Air Force One.” So, without bothering to make any public announcements or properly informing the City of New York, the photo-op happened. It went great.

Except, of course, that thousands of New Yorkers looked up to see what appeared to be a low-flying airliner trailed by fighter jets zooming over lower Manhattan . . . sort of like another couple of airliners did eight years ago, killing 3,000 people when they slammed into the twin towers of the World Trade Center. Seeing this, New Yorkers prudently evacuated their buildings, left the city, called 9-1-1, etc. Way-to-go, anonymous bureaucrat and team of anonymous managers who signed off on this grand idea.

I’ve personally seen this kind of thing happen, albeit on a much smaller and less newsworthy scale. I’ve watched equally dumb ideas progress through the system, collecting approval signatures, and then watched everybody scatter like cockroaches when higher-ups start asking who’s responsible for the mess that results. Somehow, in my experience, the contractors always get blamed . . . even if the contractor can print out the e-mail where the government manager ordered them to do whatever it was. Before too long the contractor gets replaced, and the government manager who made the bad decision gets to keep his office and even gets a pay raise.

This, folks, is why we need reform of the bureaucracy. People who enter the public service should be paid based on merit and skill, and if they under-perform they should be fired. This is how the private sector works, and it is no wonder that the private sector (on average) works better, cheaper, and more efficiently than the government.

GM Terminating Pontiac [15 Years Late]

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So General Motors (GM), the wayward American automaker, has announced that they will be killing the Pontiac brand. This isn’t a bad move, except that it’s way too little (Saturn, Buick, Hummer, and possibly others should be axed too) and it’s way too late (Pontiac stopped making sense at least 15 years ago). Reducing the irrational hodge-podge of internally competitive brands now won’t help; doing it a decade ago probably would have.

GM is also trying desperately to avoid the bankruptcy court—even though the court is really the only way for GM to break the stranglehold of the United Auto Workers (UAW) union—by announcing its intent to use various bizarre financial tricks to, essentially, nationalize themselves and put us taxpayers on the hook for their decades of mismanagement.

All-in-all, nothing has really changed. GM is still a money pit, and it’s a money pit that has already received billions of taxpayer dollars to help them hobble along. Bankruptcy remains the last, best hope for a GM resurgence. More federal investment won’t do anything but prolong the inevitable.

Scott Bradford is a writer and technologist who has been putting his opinions online since 1995. He believes in three inviolable human rights: life, liberty, and property. He is a Catholic Christian who worships the trinitarian God described in the Nicene Creed. Scott is a husband, nerd, pet lover, and AMC/Jeep enthusiast with a B.S. degree in public administration from George Mason University.